Paul Tomkins' Blog

The idea of this blog is to speak with a bit more freedom than I'm (understandably) allowed with the official site, and to be more in keeping with the style of my books. I've never said anything I didn't mean on .tv, but some criticisms have either been removed by the Press Office or I've had to censor myself.

Some blog entries will be fully formed articles, others shorter observations. Some may appear in some form as .tv articles in due course. I also hope to provide companion pieces to the .tv articles.

Feel free to contact me with your thoughts on the pieces, but as ever I cannot guarantee a reply. Also, as long as I'm accredited and a link to this site is provided, I'm happy for the pieces to be shared around the internet.

New Blog - November 2008 onwards



Blog Archive October 2007 onwards


The Impossible Job
31st January 2008

Hopefully my last piece for a while, trying to undertake a catch-all look at the current situation with regard to how it's affecting things on the pitch. Hopefully with this piece encapsulating my thoughts, and unlikely to change soon, I can now rest in peace ... so to speak.

Click here

 

Going Underground
22nd January 2008 (Updates and additions 24th January)

There are a number of reasons I’m taking a back seat from writing again right now. Frankly, I’m disillusioned with the way things are going off the field, and feel that it’s affecting what is happening on the pitch. It’s all very depressing.

For me, this season is a write-off; that doesn’t mean giving up on the two cups, but all I want now is a top four finish (which should be possible) and a chance -- please -- to start afresh next season with all the turmoil a thing of the past.

I take everything connected with the club far more personally these days; maybe all fans do to varying degrees, but feeling expected to write about every significant issue (either from the pressure I put on myself, or from emails I receive, some requesting my take on things, others more confrontational) takes it’s toll. But it’s also hard for me to stay quiet, particularly when I read something really stupid being written about the club. My instinct is to leap to the defence of the player or manager who is being unfairly criticised.

Once I release a book, which has taken many months to write, I have to then write columns to publicise that book, as that’s the only avenue open to me; by mid-winter, given my illness, I’m usually exhausted. It’s a vicious circle, and this winter has been particularly tiring, for obvious reasons. The updated version of An Anfield Anthology is out next month, but I’ve limited the copies produced so there’s less pressure on shifting them.

Thankfully Above Us Only Sky has sold out far quicker than expected (a few copies may remain in shops, but the wholesalers have run out of stock). I see no point in producing any more, as so much has changed since last October when it was published -- just three months ago.

It’s impossible to judge the performance of the team right now, because it’s an almost unworkable situation. Talk that the off-the-field issue won’t affect the players makes no sense; it won’t turn them into rubbish footballers overnight, but you need an atmosphere conducive to success from top to bottom, and clearly that isn’t the case right now. For example, Spurs were doing really well under Martin Jol until last summer, when his position was undermined.

No matter what he then did, that team were a mess until he was finally replaced. I’m not saying that Benítez needs to be replaced; quite the opposite, in fact.

I can’t think of one club that has succeeded on the pitch while there’s been this much unrest off it. Indeed, clubs have faltered with far less disruption. As well as Martin Jol, the recent list pretty much proves that Benítez stands no chance of getting the team to anywhere near its true level unless things are resolved behind the scenes.

Manchester United suffered during the Glazer takeover, although that was far less painful than this. They did fairly well in the league, finishing 2nd, but went out of the Champions League at the group stage just a few months after the takeover. The club also had problems when Ferguson was planning to retire; the uncertainty affected the team.

Everton were a mess until they got the stability of Kenwright and Moyes as a partnership; Moyes’ first few seasons were very up and down (big highs, terrible lows), but after six years he’s finally establishing them as a decent side. Newcastle have moved from one crisis to another, while moving from one manager to another. And as soon as Mourinho and Abramovich fell out, that was the end of Chelsea as a real force, as Manchester United overtook them.

Benítez isn’t so much as a dead man walking as a neutered manager working in limbo; even if Gillett and Hicks now believed in him 100%, no-one would ever believe it, short of the most remarkable gesture. Uncertainty helps no-one. Stability and security are needed to thrive. You need relaxed players, not those carrying a weight of pressure; nervousness breeds failure. And you need a manager who is in total control.

So much of football is psychological, be it confidence or belief or a relaxed state of mind, and that becomes even more complicated when it’s an issue surrounding the whole club.

It’s been a season of bimonthly catastrophucks to derail progress: September, with the departure of Pako Ayesteran just as the team were purring; November, with the big Rafa/owners fallout; and January, the Klinsmann revelations and the whole thing going nuclear. No team can flourish in such circumstances.

Clearly there’s a lot that’s right with the team, in amongst all the shortcomings. Indeed, with such a strong youth team, and the reserve team also doing so well, there’s a lot right with all the teams. There are a number of world-class and top-class players in the first team squad. There may be a few not cutting the mustard, but as I’ve said before, there’s no-one clearly taking (or on) the piss. Just like Arsene Wenger, it doesn’t matter how many mistakes Benítez makes in the market, he always lands one, two or three stars each season.

The senior side is proving hard to beat, and is keeping going to the end of matches to score late goals.

There is far more attacking talent on the books this year, with Torres in particular, and then Babel and Benayoun (the pair have seven goals each which, given they’ve been in and out of a side they are new to, is very good by January. If not totally exceptional, then certainly an improvement on the output of Gonzalez and Pennant, and more like having two Luis Garcias instead of one).

The issue of who partners Torres is still unresolved, and maybe that’s an issue for the summer, if no-one puts down a firm marker in the meantime (the difficulty with Crouch being that, like Torres, he’s best as the spearhead, and no top team players with two of those these days). But despite some problems, the team have scored four or more goals nine occasions now (only one of those against really inferior opposition), and can clearly take teams apart, once the two-goal margin is in place.

But at present the side clearly has a big mental block when that second goal isn’t scored. And no manager alive can act to definitively remove such a block; the team needs to retain its belief, and even if it gets lucky holding on for a couple of 1-0 wins, doing so will go a long way to ridding the ‘curse’. It’s particularly true at Anfield, where Benítez had such a strong record before this season. There’s no reason why that can’t return once the cloud is lifted. But with the cloud, it will be extra difficult.

Whatever their intentions when they pitched up, the whole situation regarding the fans has backfired on Gillett and Hicks to a spectacular degree. They may choose to cut their losses -- or rather, make off with their winnings; or they may opt to stick around for the long-haul, either to try and turn things around (however unlikely that may seem with fan opinion so low), or to further expand their chances of a windfall years down the line. Right now, I have no idea what it’ll be.

I still have some doubts about DIC, and find myself a little uncomfortable at the way they’re being treated as saviours without having actually done anything to merit that.

But while I believe it’s possible things could get worse whoever is in charge, if they did buy the club it would certainly give the clean slate and fresh start that would be almost impossible now under the current regime, no matter what the Americans attempted by way of pacifying the fans. Even if they tried everything possible, I don’t know how Kopites would ever trust them again. It’s easy to see why fans are clinging to the hope that DIC, with the money being their own and a genuine fan running the organisation, would be a better bet right now.

I hope everything is resolved for the ultimate good of Liverpool FC, and I can be back in the groove soon. It’s not that my health is especially bad at the moment, more a combination of not being at my best (winter, viruses, etc, on top of overdoing things) and the task of writing about the club being too much at the moment.

I will at least try to keep up with one article on the official site each month, as is expected of me. But I am struggling to find either the energy or the inclination to write about anything to do with football right now, and see it as best to treat this as a natural break to rest and recuperate.

This is always the most difficult time of year for me; I tend to pick up over the spring and summer months. Hopefully the same will be true of Liverpool FC.

 

Careful What You Wish For...
17th January 2008

A case of better the devil(s) you know?


Click here

 

Oceans Apart
15th January 2008

Thank God for Newcastle United, eh? Without them, our club would be the biggest laughing stock in English football.

A three-year presence in the top four (with a game in hand on those below who share 39 points) and progress to the last 16 of the Champions League for the fourth year running, elevates the Reds way above what’s going on a St James’ Park. It hasn’t got that bad yet. Or even close.

But it doesn’t seem we can go more than a month or two without the ‘Cantona hitting the Matthew Simmons’.

You can look at Tom Hick’s statement about the courting of Jurgen Klinsmann in one of two ways. The first is that it’s a blatant attempt to force a resignation from Rafa Benítez in an act of constructive dismissal. In which case, the shit really has kung-fu kicked the fan.

The second is that, back in November, there was what seemed an irreparable breakdown between the two parties -- a breakdown we all knew about -- but one that has now, somehow, been repaired. Subsequently, with all the continued speculation in the media, Hicks sought to show that -- hands up, it’s a fair cop -- there was some fire behind the Klinsmann smoke, but that it wasn’t happening recently, as the press suggested, and instead took place two months ago.

Or in other words, Hicks’ actions, to quote the Ross and Rachel saga from his country’s famous sitcom, came when “we were on a break”. His roving eye was not an act of infidelity after the relationship had been patched up, but an ‘understandable’ dalliance dating back to when things were looking beyond hope. The problem is, they weren’t officially on a break at all.

I’m not sure what to believe right now; my head feels like it’s been in the tumble drier for a few hours. I always try to give people the benefit of the doubt in life, and would love to believe that the true situation is the second scenario I described. But I wouldn’t blame you if you thought me bloody naive as a result.

I approached the arrival of Hicks and Gillett with an open mind, and gave them the benefit of the doubt following some impressive soundbites when taking charge, and allowing Benítez to finally sign an expensive world-class player in the summer (even if the net spend wasn’t enormous).

But now I fear they could have been empty words, and the shape of the American ownership has changed dramatically in the last few months. The new stadium has become a fiasco, but changes in the financial markets and rises in the cost of materials haven’t helped. But whether or not the stadium issues are entirely their fault or mostly in the lap of the gods, the buck (no pun intended) stops with them.

In essence, it could be seen as Hicks finally coming out and backing the manager -- but only after admitting he wavered. I can live with this version of events. But if it’s to force a constructive dismissal (or to save face having been chasing Klinsmann even up until last week) I really would be dismayed. And by talking to the press, Hicks has offered that scenario on a plate to those who’d love to make it so.

The downside present with either scenario is that the debacle is still being played out in the media, and how can that help? Killing speculation is one thing, but doing so in a way that can cause further unrest makes little sense to me. Maybe it was calculated; or perhaps it was a belated attempt at transparency that backfired.

If Gillett and Hicks were genuinely worried about Benítez walking away, then perhaps we can actually feel (a little) reassured that they were ‘on the ball’ in having a contingency plan. That’s one way of looking at it. But why would Benítez even be considering walking away? -- unhappiness at the way the club was being run is the only reason I can come up with.

And there’s also the issue of the choice of the man they were seeing behind Rafa’s back. Klinsmann recently wooed the football folk of Brazil when giving a talk on the game. The BBC’s South American correspondent, Tim Vickery, said that the German “gave a lecture which some hardened people in Brazilian football described as the best they had ever seen.”

He obviously talks a good game. But if you want to know more about the Premiership and European football, as Hicks said, why not ask someone who’s actually managed in the former, and led a team to glory in the latter?

Instead they speak to Klinsmann and Klinsmann duly impresses. Maybe he really is a genius of a coach, and it could have been the most forward-thinking appointment in the history of the sport. Who knows?

But what worries me is that you have two men who admit they don’t know the sport, going and speaking to someone who does -- fair enough -- in order to learn more, and then provisionally offering him the manager’s the job based on what? -- what he said? Is that how easy it is?

In that case it’s a good job they didn’t speak to Neil Warnock. My problem is that, if they don’t understand the sport, how could they know what Klinsmann said made such amazing sense and wasn’t a load of old nonsense he made up on the spot? -- “You need the isosceles triangle midfield, the octagonal defence-offence zone and a rhombus of skilful players tucked perpendicular to the wing.”

And where is the practical proof behind the German’s theories? Because there’s precious little in terms of a CV to refer to. Klinsmann’s claim to fame as a manager was taking a major footballing nation to the World Cup semi-finals on home soil. Even South Korea managed to do that. I’m sorry, but this would be like Liverpool playing every Champions League game at Anfield in order to make the semi-final. As it was, Benítez made two finals having to overcome those pesky away ties at places like the Nou Camp, Stamford Bridge and Stadio Delle Alpi.

Perhaps the most worrying thing was the admission that Benítez’s job really was on the line pending the Marseilles result. Two years ago Man United fell at the group stage, and they had been off the pace in the Premiership for the previous three years; but United kept faith in Ferguson. Arsene Wenger spent four years between 1998 and 2002 not winning the league (or indeed, anything) and failing fairly miserably in the Champions League. But Arsenal never chatted up someone new.

If Rafa’s job was on the line based on his European record this season, I would worry for the future of the club. Because all teams have bad seasons; the well-run clubs don’t panic. Even Everton stuck with David Moyes following two awful seasons in his first four years and European humiliation, and look at how, in his sixth season and now with stability in the boardroom, they’ve become a far better side.

It’s no wonder Rafa ‘sacrificed’ the Reading game with 30 minutes to go. And that led to making it harder in the league. But as soon as a manager is in a make-or-break, must-win situation in November, the pressure is just ramped up. The Reds pulled it out of the bag in France, but the league situation was adversely affected. And understandably so.

If his job was on the line on account of that game in Marseilles (given that the Reds were still far from out of the league title race back then), that suggests a hire-’em fire-’em attitude that just does not work in English football.

I’ve always been of the belief that Benítez is the best man for the job. It’s well known that I am a big supporter of his, and I don’t see the point in allowing him to build up such strong collection of young players, and make signings like Martin Skrtel, if his days are numbered. Maybe the Skrtel signing is proof that things really were resolved at that December meeting?

The only way I’d ever want to see Rafa replaced at any point would be because he genuinely wants to go, not because he feels unable to stay.

Anyone coming in now would get the advantage of all the groundwork Rafa has done, in constructing a world-class spine to the team, and procuring a lot of hugely promising youngsters. But unless you can find one of the very, very few men in the world with a comparable CV, then you’d be in danger of doing far more damage that good. And with every passing year the job gets harder, as the clock ticks from 18 to 19 to 20, and so on.

It’s unfair to blame Rafa for all the current lack of belief shown by the team, given the unsettling nature of what’s been going on all season long. I’m not excusing all of the bad performances and results because of it, but there seems to be an additional layer of pressure hanging over everyone right now.

I’ve always said that too much pressure, and a lack of confidence (which can strike at any time), makes players appear like they don’t care. There’s a difference between being dispirited and disinterested. And different players handle it differently: they have their own body language. Without confidence, players seem more frozen, more wooden. The body tenses up more quickly. It’s natural.

The league title is a big millstone; the only similar one was United’s in the late ‘80s and early ‘90s, and we all know how long it took Ferguson to remove that burden. In that sense, Benítez has handled it far, far better, if you compare their records in their first four years. That doesn’t mean Benítez will definitely win the league simply because Ferguson eventually did, just that you don’t have to prove you can win the league in the first three or four years. Some jobs take longer.

These days Chelsea, Arsenal and United don’t have the pressure of having gone two decades without the title. And they also have a core of players who have the belief that comes from winning the league. Liverpool can boast neither, not to mention far less money than two of those three clubs.

So where does that leave us? If Rafa knew about Klinsmann before this week, as some reports suggested, then that’s less of a problem. He’ll know that ‘sounding out’ goes on in football. In that case, the worst crime here is a PR gaff, where a comment has been made that has only added fuel to the fire.

If, as other reports claim, Rafa did not know of the Teutonic overtures, then that has to be a kick in the teeth, coming on the back of four successive draws. It just makes his job all the harder, but it will unite the fans behind him once again, with some wavering after a few poor performances.

But either way, it’s another messy moment in an increasingly messy affair -- one which has understandably left a lot of Reds feeling depressed, confused and bitter. There’s no point in speculating about what will happen next, as it appears that anything is possible at the moment.

Last week I managed to get tickets on the Kop for tonight’s game, so a low-key affair has turned into a very important occasion. I’ll certainly be showing my support for the manager.

© Paul Tomkins 2008

 

Spending of Rafa Benítez vs Alex Ferguson
4th January 2008

This blog can be found, along with database images, here:

Spending blog

 

Half-term report: Not bad, but need to do better
6th January 2008

It says a lot about expectations at Liverpool, and the requirements for the remainder of the season, that two wins and two draws over the holiday period, from two home games and two away, is seen as some kind of disaster. I remember when averaging two points a game was what you aimed for.

And now there’s more talk of Benítez being a “dead man walking”. The atmosphere, and the pressure, surrounding the club is starting to make it seem impossible to succeed, with its undermining influence - unless some kind of siege mentality can be summoned. Any poor result has the spectre of a larger failure looming, and that’s only going to prove detrimental.

Jurgen Klinsmann - a great player - is again being liked with Rafa’s job, but what has he done as a coach/manager? Really, it baffles me to see him linked with top jobs.

I thought top clubs had moved away from appointing figurehead players as managers? Klinsmann took Germany to the semi-finals of the World Cup. But he did so on German soil, with the fans behind the team. Even England make the semi-finals of tournaments held in this country; South Korea did the same on home soil. How does a career of managing half a dozen competitive games (as Germany were automatically at the Finals) qualify Klinsmann for a job like managing Liverpool?

What is he like at buying players? What are his tactics? How does he man-manage? Does he stick around long, especially when the going gets tough? There is a gulf of difference between Benítez’s proven knowledge and ability and some rookie who’s done virtually nothing in the job, and never managed a club. He could be great, and he certainly has charisma, but where’s the evidence he can manage a top club? I know this is only paper talk, but if there is even 0.01% of truth in it, I’ll despair.

There’s a lot of doom and gloom around, and it’s understandable; another year without a title challenge - or so it seems. I think the Reds can get back in amongst the title race with a few wins on the spin, but not to the point where a real challenge can be made; there’s just no margin for error, and hasn’t been for a few weeks now.

All of the top teams had bad games over Christmas, but United sneaked one more point from their four matches, despite a deserved defeat at West Ham and a poor home performance against Birmingham. And Chelsea got the kind of luck, with Kalou’s offside goal, that Liverpool were not blessed with.

The Reds deserved to win all four games based on possession and clear-cut chances, although the Derby and Wigan displays were clearly substandard. The Reds could have used more luck, but also more inspiration. Having been leading, the Wigan game felt more like a defeat.

These days, drawing against teams like Wigan and Birmingham is as bad as it gets at Anfield; it’s not great, obviously, but prior to Benítez arriving, the Reds lost home games to Bradford, Watford, Charlton, Manchester City, Southampton and Leicester, and to some of those teams on more than one occasion. I’m not suggesting that by not being as bad as that, the Reds are therefore ‘great’, but it’s worth remembering those true low points all the same. These days, only the top sides come away with all three points.

Benítez’s team performed much, much better away at Man City, in the most one-sided 0-0 draw in history. I think it was the first ever time I’ve ever seen a supposed top side defend like that at home: acting like they were a Conference side with the bus parked in front of the goal, but still offering some kind of implied threat, with a lot of pace to hit on the counter.

I wrote a lot about Rafa’s tactics and methods in Above Us Only Sky, and nothing has really changed my opinion: while Arsenal, Chelsea and United may do things differently, there’s nothing inherently wrong with how Rafa works based on the examples I discussed. Two years ago Ferguson had “lost the plot”, and Wenger has also had a lot of criticism for not altering his thinking on certain issues, but once a team starts winning again, it all gets forgotten. (Maybe psychology and motivation are areas where the Reds could improve.)

Things are steadily improving under Benítez, and so many things are better than before he arrived (such as not only qualifying for the Champions League every single season, but also making the knockout stages, and, unbelievably, two finals in three seasons), but other teams are improving too, and the Premiership title is becoming an obsession. Then again, some other teams who’ve spent big, like Spurs and Newcastle, are really in the mire.

The Reds’ home form has been the main problem, but in the previous three seasons it was excellent. The introduction of pace up front has helped the team away from home, but maybe the balance has gone a little awry at Anfield. But that can all change: the personnel is there for the team to be better at home than it has been. Maybe it just needs a little more understanding between the players, and a bit more luck and/or ruthlessness in front of goal.

But it’s been a season beset from the start by problems: a lot of new players to blend quickly into a cohesive team; the fallout with, and departure of, Pako Ayestaran, which could have been either man’s fault (or a bit of both); lack of centre-back cover after the belated ruling regarding Gabriel Heinze; the unprecedented public spat between manager and owners, and the increased pressure surrounding the club as a result; and while not quite an injury crisis, a fair few notable absentees: Agger, Alonso, Pennant, Torres, Aurelio and Kewell have all missed from a fair few games to a handful of months - although the latter two players aren’t surprises on that score.

But all of those listed are technical players, and in the case of Agger, Benítez has been shorn of the one player who can step from defence into midfield and give a move impetus, as well as altering the dynamics of the play. His superb passing from the back is also sorely missed, as are his goals - he was starting to chip in with a fair few. For me he is easily the best footballing centre-back in the country, and while Hyypia has at least matched his defensive abilities, the creative side of Agger’s game is irreplaceable.

Unlike in the previous seasons since the title last arrived, there’s no-one at the club taking (or seriously on) the piss, or who hasn’t had a lot of good games for the club (unlike real deadwood, like Diao, Cheyrou, et al). The mentality is mostly of winners, individually at least. But one thing you cannot buy, or create, is the assurance that comes once a team has landed its first league title.

There’s still plenty of room for improvement from a number of players, but the nature of a big squad (which is needed) is that some players will flourish and others will stagnate. You can’t give equal playing time to 25 players. And while Rafa continues to rotate, he sticks to a core of his best players.

Of those who have featured more than a couple of times, I’d exempt from blame: Torres, Reina, Gerrard, Carragher, Agger, Arbeloa, Alonso, Mascherano, Babel, Benayoun, Hyypia, Lucas, Hobbs and Finnan. That doesn’t mean all are perfect, or were in form the whole time (Carragher, Gerrard and Finnan certainly had slow starts to the season).

But on the whole I cannot fault their contribution to the first half of the campaign (in some cases when age or settling into English football is taken into account), and see them all as important players for the future. Even Hyypia: after his excellent form deputising for Agger, it’s clear he’s up to another year or two in the squad.

Once he settled back into the team, the Finn, with 22 starts already, has largely been outstanding. I’ve always maintained he can play well into his late 30s, and while I started to get concerned that he might be ready to be put out to pasture early in the season, he has shown it to be merely rustiness. Another centre-back is needed, until Hobbs - who has immense potential - matures. He’s a great 19-year-old centre-back, but it’ll take a few years to be a great top-level centre-back.

Finding a partner for Fernando Torres - someone to play just behind him - seems to be the main concern. It’s a role that Ryan Babel prefers, and in time one he may well make his own; he has the potential to just that, and more. At the moment he lacks the necessary experience, and it’s perhaps better that he adjusts to life in the Premiership on the wings, where there’s more time and space. In the centre, there’s often a crowd.

But another idea is Yossi Benayoun, a player who has always reminded me of Peter Beardsley in playing style and movement; he can create, score and also works hard. He started his career as a second-striker, and at the very least it seems an option worth considering.

I still believe that Benítez has constructed an excellent - and I mean excellent - young spine for this team. Reina, Agger, Carragher (the ‘old man’ of it), Mascherano, Alonso, Gerrard and Torres are all top, top players: gifted, committed, dedicated and born winners. That spine can only get better, and stronger. Lucas is surely another world-class central midfielder in the making, and Ryan Babel can add himself to the list of top spine players, if he matures to become the second-striker many feel is possible.

Were Benítez to be sacked, or walk away, as the press are yet again suggesting, the first concern would be how the Latin contingent would respond. They’re professionals, and paid to get on with it, but it would clearly disappoint and, to some degree, disrupt players like Torres, Alonso and Reina. Then there’s how a new manager would alter things, and the process of learning new systems and introducing yet more new players.

While I am still 100% convinced that Rafa is the right man for the job, and is shaping something that he is best qualified to utilise, I do also think that any replacement, should things pan out that way, would inherit a quite superb nucleus of core players, and a lot of very promising youngsters. But as I write, Rafa is very much still in his job.

Aside from the issue of who to play just behind Torres, the problems lie mostly in the wider areas, as it has for a couple of years. Finnan and Arbeloa are excellent full-backs; no real problem there. Although neither is outstanding going forward, both are good technical players who overlap when the wide midfielders tuck inside, and can play their part in fluid attacks. Elsewhere in wide areas there are a lot of decent to very-good players, and in Babel, one potentially great one, but none who are currently up there with the very best - in terms of consistency if nothing else.

Babel is not yet a totally effective winger, although he has the pace, skill and strength to mirror John Barnes at his best. He’s still two years younger than Digger when he arrived, and unlike the former no.10, has to adapt to a new league at the same time. I really see such enormous potential in Babel, but at present he’s struggling to pull his game together for more than a few minutes here and there, mostly when appearing as a sub - which, in the circumstances, is perfectly natural. He’s on a steep learning curve.

Steven Gerrard is still the most effective and complete wide player the Reds have, and that’s not necessarily a bad thing - in that at least the Reds do have him. In 2005/06 he was excellent out there, and scored a lot of goals; but he doesn’t seem happy with the role.

To a degree I can understand why, but it’s a shame - if he was really enthusiastic about it (rather than doing it as a chore), Benítez could have him marauding up and down that flank as well as cutting into the middle to score goals, with two from Alonso, Mascherano and Lucas holding the fort down in the middle and controlling the tempo of the game. That would make the Reds strong from left to right.

For me, a midfield four of Babel (or a fit, in-form Kewell, if such a thing can still exist), Alonso, Mascherano and Gerrard looks as strong as any around - on paper, at least. But as it stands, by putting Gerrard on the right the manager would have to gamble with a player who will do a job there, but whose heart clearly wouldn’t be in it.

Rafa tried Gerrard behind Torres against Wigan, to get Alonso and Mascherano into the same side, but for some reason Gerrard can’t adapt to the role quite as well as he should.

In theory it’s a dream striking combination - the pair have 28 goals between them by the start of January - but the captain seems happiest coming onto the play from deeper areas, and seems unhappy with his back to goal. Maybe it’s something that can be worked on; with his pace, power and eye for goal, he should be able to become a real force in the position. And as mentioned earlier, Babel has similar qualities, but will need time.

I’m not entirely sure why Crouch hasn’t played more often, but at the same time, I’m baffled why people keep asking me about an agenda against the player from Rafa. There’s no suggestion of a falling out, and Rafa obviously rates him: he bought him, and played him a lot in the previous first two seasons, even when everyone called him insane for doing so. So for me, it’s more a tactical concern.

Crouch is most effective as the main striker - the target man - as is Torres. Neither is at his best behind another striker. And no top team plays two out-and-out strikers pushed up the whole time. In fact, United’s success this season has been without any main strikers: both Tevez and Rooney like to come deep, and neither has the physical attributes to be a target man.

Chelsea were better with just Drogba up front, before Shevchenko was shoe-horned in. Players who can operate in the hole, or between the lines, are essential. Crouch can do this, but it’s not his strong suit. And Torres can certainly do this, but then you lose his pace against the last defender. So that’s a problem.

In his first season, Kuyt really impressed me: a decent amount of goals (all the better considering he didn’t take any penalties, and came close on a number of occasions, hitting the woodwork six times), a good amount of assists, as well as a quite stupendous work-rate. Against Barcelona and Chelsea in the Champions League he was really immense.

But this season, despite some sterling showings and signs of a promising partnership with Torres, his contribution in the final third has gradually wilted, to the point where it’s almost non-existent. His lack of pace is hugely frustrating - an extra yard or two and he’d be right in the top bracket. He has a lot of game intelligence, both in and out of possession, but often gets closed off when he’s about to shoot from a lack of that extra yard of pace.

But he’s a battler, and a winner, and his work-rate does lift the other players. The more totally committed, never-say-die men in the squad, the better. And if he can rediscover his early season form, he looks a good foil for Torres.

Despite this, he currently looks like one of the players who, if a better alternative can be found, will slip down the pecking order. You can’t improve on players like Torres and Gerrard, but you can on Kuyt, even if it’s not easy to find the right man.

Momo Sissoko is another who started his Liverpool career brightly, and appeared to have a wonderful future, only for it to fall away.

Sissoko had two excellent seasons, although the second one trailed off towards the end. With the emergence of Lucas and the arrival of Mascherano, I would have no problem with the manager cashing in on the Malian if the price is anywhere near what has been quoted; unlike a lot of the other players some fans are disillusioned with, he could be considered surplus to requirements on account of the sheer quality he’s competing with. But I still think he’s an underrated player - one where people always focus on what he gets wrong.

It’s really hard to know what to make of Harry Kewell these days. His footballing intelligence is always going to be there - he’s a clever, consistent passer. But the other kind of passing - when it relates to overtaking a full-back - currently looks a thing of the past; at least on any kind of consistent basis. While apparently over his injuries, he needs to find peak fitness and sharpness before any real judgement can be made, and he’s running out of time. The lack of goals is also a worry, as it was his strong suit at Leeds and in his first year at Liverpool, before the curse struck.

Andrei Voronin started his Liverpool career well, and has had a few excellent games, but has recently trailed off into oblivion. Again, it’s hard to know what to make of him, and his lack of cachet amongst the fans makes him an easy target. A decent acquisition as a free transfer, he could just be going through the adaptation process; but as a free transfer he’ll always be regarded with scepticism. It’s hard to see past him being fourth-choice at best.

John Arne Riise’s form has also disintegrated. Never the greatest player, he had a couple of very solid seasons at left-back under Rafa, and has weighed in with some important goals. Maybe he needs a new challenge?

In the same position, Fabio Aurelio has excellent technique, and put in his best display for the Reds at Manchester City. But long-term fitness concerns have hampered his progress. When he plays like he did at the Eastlands you can see someone who is easily good enough, if he can stay fit. Arbeloa is also very good in the role, and perhaps more likely to nail it down, given his good fitness record and extra pace. Meanwhile, 18-year-old Insua may make the breakthrough in the next year or two.

Jermaine Pennant is another ‘nearly’ player. He has pace, good control, can beat a man and deliver a really telling cross. But when not on form his game can fall apart (as it can with ‘confidence’ players), and his lack of any kind of goal threat is clearly a problem. His problem is being compared with someone like Ronaldo - the kind of player you can’t easily get hold of.

Pennant was excellent in the second half of last season, and man-of-the-match in the Champions AC Milan. He started this season well, but his form dipped before injury struck. He remains a good option, but until he finds a consistent end product, nothing more.

Sebastian Leto, meanwhile, has yet to make any kind of impact, but has shown for the reserves that he has natural talent; at just 20, and adapting to life in England, that’s maybe all we could hope for at this stage, from a player who was never bought as a potential world-beater in the first place.

Despite the current state of doom and gloom, I am convinced that the bones of a great team is there, and that a fair bit of it has been fleshed out, too. If the solution to who partners Torres, and how they perform, can be sorted, and Babel can progress either on the wing or in that very role, then that will be another step forward. In the meantime, there may be nothing else to do, other than be patient.

© Paul Tomkins 2008

 

Facts For a Time Capsule
15th December 2007

I ended up sending my latest blog to RAWK, and it can be found using the following link:

Facts For a Time Capsule

I thought it was best to just get the piece out there ahead of the Man United game. I spoke to Oliver Kay following his alarming piece in the Times earlier today, and he assured me that the tensions were still very real. I didn't ask him to reveal his sources, but I trust they are real and reliable; however, that does not mean every source gets it right every time.

But whether or not Rafa's job is still under threat, the need for common sense remains strong. Frankly, I couldn't care less if the protagonists no longer get along, so long as they put their egos aside and do what's best for Liverpool Football Club. And as far as I'm concerned, that means working with Rafa's vision, not at odds with it.

There are plenty more facts I could have included relating to Ferguson and Wenger, and it doesn't cover every last angle, but the piece was long enough as it is. Part of this piece is culled from Above Us Only Sky, where I could obviously go into the issues in far greater breadth and depth. I've also written a comparison with Houllier's first five years, but didn't feel it was important to include right now; it was written a few weeks ago when people were moaning that it's "Houllier all over again".

 


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